The Footy Trader

How to trade on football markets on a betting exchange

Browsing Posts tagged Rangers

It is nil nil and the Russians are camped in the Rangers half. Just before half time there was a call for a penalty and Rangers were very luck for the ref not to give it.

Still looks like Zenit will win the game barring some strange bit of luck going the direction of Rangers. Well that could happen with the way that Rangers have made it to the Final in the first place.
Darchville still looks like he could be dangerous for Rangers but only if the rest of the team can get the ball to him and then give him some support.

As far as the game plan for Rangers it is going the way they expected. Zenit are the better team but Rangers are defending well. I would like Zenit to win this one. It would work out very nice for me with the matched betting. I will still make money if it goes the other way or is a draw but why not hope for the easy option.

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Would be nice for Rangers to lose – Well me me anyway. I don’t suppose Ally McCoist will be too pleased though, not Walter Smith either.

I will still make 45 euro on the competition because I have the free 65 euro laid off. I am not sure I want to wait a month to get my hands on it. If Fiorentina get a goal I will be tempted to look at the odds and see if I will make enough to be able to trade out early.

If I did that and Rangers made a late come back in the game and then went on to win the competition I could be quids in on both sides of the position I have right now.

I traded on the under 2.5 goals on the game and traded out at about 25 minutes so that I could take my place on the sofa to watch the game.

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Rangers are playing Werder Bremen at home, Bolton play Sporting Lisbon  and Spurs have PSV Eindoven at home, while Everton are away in Fiorentina. So  there will be some interesting games this evening. Rangers game will be tough Bremen are a good side usually and as far as I can see anything could happen in the other games.

I will try to trade for a couple of ticks at the start of the games and get out early. I should be able to hit the 1% target that way easily enough. If there are any goals I may trade further, as the odds fall pretty  fast just after a goal.  Have to be on the look out for a quick equaliser but that doesn’t happen that often.

I would be tempted to do something with the other games on this evening, for exampple the Benfica vs Getafe but it will be better to concentrate on the games with the British clubs involvement because there will be more liquidity in those games.

I will probably start the trades just as the games are about to get under way and put in the sell order when the match has started. Then it will be fingers crossed for the movement of the odds with the under 2.5 goals markets to go as they always do when there are no goals scored. If the odds look a little on the slow side then I might consider trading out half of the opening position for less profit rather than letting it ride.

Soccer Mystic and BetAngel will be the tools of choice this evening. I could do the same sort of thing with BetIE and there is a hedging tool within the software too. BetIE is good because there are no monthly fees, very good value. I like to see a full ladder interface though as you get with the aforementioned softwares and also with Binarysoft. Binarysoft has the extra advantage for me seeing as I work on a Mac and it works native and I don’t have to break out the Parallels virtual software to run Windows as a virtual machine inside my iMac. Horses for courses really and whatever it is that you are doing on Betfair.

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During the day I set up the bets for the Racing place tips but again with the 80/20 staking plan. Didn’t go as well today and the day ended -€5.76 which is -0.28 points. The profit overall is still 7.65 points at €153 after Betfair commission.

I bet on 21 horses, there were 4 winners and 5 placed which is quite poor as a strike rate. Taking that into consideration I would say that the 80/20 place was the saviour of the day, bumping up the overall profit.

I have set up 17 bets on horses out of 18 selection for today, on one horse the odds for the place bet  was below the 1.27 minimum on Betfair. So lets see how things work out for today with BetIE.

Football Trading

Last night I traded using BetAngel and Soccer Mystic on the Brann (Norway) vs Everton game and also the Rangers vs Panathanaikos. I got the 1% of profit and shut up shop. Both of the games finished under 2.5 goals. Everton winning by 2 goals and nil nil with Rangers, so I could have possibly made more on the games with bets later in the games and without trading out particularly with the Rangers game, but 1% is the target and I plan to stick to it.