The Footy Trader

The Footy Trader

How to trade on football markets on a betting exchange

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The under 2.5 goals odds graph

Here  is a super example of what happens to the odds at the start of a game when no goals are scored. Neither West Bromwich nor Portsmouth have found the back of the net and the odds dropped down from around 1.90 at the start to about 1.35. Clearly a trading opportunity.

I just went out to walk the dog and it was necessary, there was business to do. I get back in the house and look again at the graph for the under 2.5 goals in the same game. I know straight away that there has been one goal scored from the movements on the graph. See below in the graph what happened to the odds after the goal. They rocketed back up to 1.90 and then started to head downwards again. By the look of it the downward trend is similar to the previous trend before the goal in terms of speed of the movement. More evidence of a trading opportunity. The only thing is that there has been a goal scored and you only have to see one more goal to be in a losing situation.

What is the answer here? Really it would be best if the reward was higher as the risk is a little higher, There is only a one goal cushion.  It would be good to see a steeper line after the goal is scored. You could move to the under 3.5 goal market and see what the odds are like there. You could perhaps go into the under 2.5 goals again but only for a short amount of time. Get in there and get out taking a smaller amount of profit from the trade.

Seems to me a quick in and out is the way to go on this market.

Here we go again and there has been another goal there has been an equaliser. The graph shows the odds on the game ending under 2.5 goals is up to 3.50 and then sharply down to 2.50. Great care needs to be taken when two goals have been scored as only one more goal and that is that – all done and dusted.

The movement of the odds just after the goal is a lot sharper though. If you could get a betting bot to throw in an order for a bet as soon as the market got started again and then do the hedging bet very very quickly after that you could make a nice profit from it.

Have a look at BetIE for your trading – It has the advantage of having a once off price and no monthly fees. I think the interface is fairly basic but despite that it does have quite a few tricks up its sleeve. You can do hedging, dutching and trading. The best of all is that it can do a learning mode which will allow you to try out things without risking your betting bank.

You could also look at BetAngel which is the Rolls Royce of the betting softwares, it does everything bar make the tea. It does have a monthly cost and you have to bear that in mind when you work out if it is for you or not. I recommend looking at what you expect to make from your trading each month and it is obvious that you have to make more profit than what you have to pay for the software each  month. Still though for the professional trader then I think it is the best choice. At the moment you can try out the BetAngel Betdaq version which is new and it will not cost anything.

If you are working mainly with soccer then you will perhaps get better use from Soccer Mystic

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